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2024-12-13 04:43:44

At present, the benefits are not digested, but the day when they are waiting to be cashed in. In addition, there are expectations of maintaining stability during the meeting, so the risk of a big drop is not great. This is just a small high point. Today, 50 billion domestic capital has gone, and foreign capital can't see the data, so it's uncertain for the time being, but mysterious funds should not continue to buy. Recently, this wave of market can be driven by mysterious capital pulses, and they will be fine if they are stable.To sum up, the price trend contains all the information, so it is not suitable to accelerate directly here, and there is no basis for a big drop, so the next big probability is the time to oscillate and adjust the rhythm. Considering that the overall upward trend of the market index remains unchanged, it will continue to hit a new high after the shock, so we should take the initiative to pick up the chips thrown high on dips.Yesterday, after-hours heavy meeting enlarged the move, Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures index rose violently, and even the mid-night stocks rose by more than 8%, and the market was full of fanatical voices. However, Lao Liu is still calm, suggesting that there is a high probability of going high and going low, and it should be dealt with by high throwing and low sucking. Today, the market opened higher and closed the false negative line, which once again verified my judgment. Will the stock market continue to fall tomorrow?


In terms of sectors, the mapping direction of Hong Kong stocks, such as finance, consumption and Internet technology, led the gains yesterday, but the traditional industries basically turned green, with coal, railways and highways and precious metals leading the declines. Most of the plates and themes in it are high-opening and low-walking, and the only eye-catching thing is that the robot has turned from weak to strong again. It can be said that today it is not cheat people to suck only in this direction.Reason 3: the technical upward trend will not change, and it will continue to hit a new high after shock consolidation. Yesterday, Lao Liu suggested that it is necessary to do high-throwing and low-sucking treatment if it is too high and high-opening. The key is that the closing price cannot be higher than 3489.78 points. Now, to be honest, everything is just right. At present, the market is still standing above the 5-day line, and there is no structural pressure above it, which is also the technical basis for my small high point.Emotionally, there are 112 stocks with daily limit, 3 stocks with daily limit and 38 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the daily limit of 100 shares continues, and the atmosphere of the market is still good, but two more median tickets have joined the nuclear button club. At present, the risk of ebb tide of the echelon is still there, and the relay friends still need to be cautious.


Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!For the next trend, Lao Liu also suggested in the long article of the Morning Post that if the closing price is below 3489.78 points, there is a high probability that the small yin and the small yang will fluctuate alternately. Then, after this wave of dishwashing knocks off the expectations of retail investors, it is estimated that it is the beginning of a new wave. In a word, in the short term, shock consolidation is still the second wave attack of winning three waves in the long term.

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